Auburn is back on a two-game losing streak, but it's still in the top rung of both the conference and the country in terms of seeding.
The Tigers (22-4, 9-4 SEC) will host Tennessee on Saturday morning looking to get back on track — particularly on offense. Auburn has sorely missed its second-leading scorer, freshman Isaac Okoro, who may return against the Volunteers after missing the past two games with a hamstring injury.
Without him, and with its bench struggling to make up for his production, Auburn scored just 55 points on the road against Georgia in a loss Wednesday as its 3-point shooting woes continued.
Here is where Auburn stands in current NCAA Tournament predictions, as well as a look at statistical strengths and shortcomings this season. Check out last week's installment here.
TOURNAMENT RESUME
NET ranking: No. 28
Quadrant I games (5-2): Win vs. Richmond, at Mississippi State, vs. Kentucky, at Arkansas, vs. LSU; losses at Alabama, Florida
Remaining Q-I games (2): at Kentucky, at Tennessee
Quadrant II games (7-2): Win vs. NC State, Saint Louis, Davidson, South Carolina, Iowa State, Alabama, at Ole Miss; losses at Missouri, Georgia
Remaining Q-II games (1): vs. Tennessee
Quadrant III games (6-0): win at South Alabama, win vs. Furman, New Mexico, Colgate, Georgia, Vanderbilt
Remaining Q-III games (2): vs. Ole Miss, vs. Texas A&M
Quadrant IV games (4-0): win vs. CSUN, Lehigh, Lipscomb, Georgia Southern
Remaining Q-IV games: (0)
Strength of record: 41st
Nonconference strength of record: 34th
OFFENSE
Points per game: 79.0 (10th of 353 in college basketball, 3rd in SEC)
Efficiency rating: 1.061 (34th, 2nd)
Floor percentage (percentage of possessions where points are scored): 50.9% (15th, 3rd)
Effective FG percentage: 49.8% (155th, 7th)
2-point FG percentage: 53.5% (30th, 3rd)
3-point FG percentage: 30.0% (315th, 12th)
Free throw percentage: 67.3% (283rd, 13th)
Free throws attempted per play: 31.5% (2nd, 1st)
Assists to turnover ratio: 0.988 (152nd, 5th)
Offensive rebound percentage: 34.3% (10th, 3rd)
Extra scoring possessions per game: 3.9 (29th, 1st)
DEFENSE
Scoring defense: 70.9 PPG (201st, 10th SEC)
Efficiency rating: 0.953 (106th, 7th)
Opponent shooting percentage: 41.4% (83rd, 8th)
Opponent 2-point FG percentage: 46.6% (75th, 4th)
Opponent 3-point FG percentage: 32.5% (140th, 11th)
Opponent free throws attempted per play: 23.5% (186th, 6th)
Defensive rebounding percentage: 74.9% (132nd, 4th)
Block percentage: 8.3% (24th, 4th)
Steal percentage: 8.2% (216th, 11th)
BRACKETOLOGY
ESPN: 5-seed vs. Yale
CBS: 4-seed vs. Akron
NBC: 5-seed vs. Liberty
USA TODAY: 4-seed vs. Bowling Green
SB Nation: 4-seed vs. North Texas
Bracket Matrix (average of 116 bracket projections): 3.77 average (4-seed)
BASKETBALL POWER INDEX (ESPN)
Offensive rating: 6.4 (22nd in college basketball, 4th SEC)
Defensive rating: 4.6 (55th, 6th)
Projected record: 25-6, 12-6 SEC (T-12th most wins, 2nd in SEC)
Chances to advance in NCAA Tournament: 60.3% Round of 32, 24.6% Sweet 16, 9.2% Elite Eight, 3.3% Final Four, 1.0% national championship app., 0.3% win 2019-20 national title
Win probability vs. Tennessee: 77.2%
vs. Ole Miss: 84.7%
at Kentucky: 30.9%
vs. Texas A&M: 93.7%
at Tennessee: 48.5%
-------
NOT A MEMBER?
JOIN AUBURNSPORTS.COM TODAY to enjoy around-the-clock content including stories, analysis, videos, podcasts, call-in shows and The Greatest Message Board In The History of The Internet.
