March 13, 2007

History of the four seed

The Texas Longhorns enjoyed a tremendous late-season run to earn a four seed and they will take the court in Spokane as one the hottest teams in the tournament behind the sensational play of Kevin Durant.

It's the first time that Texas will enter the NCAA Tournament as a four seed since the field expanded to 64 teams in 1985. Texas head coach Rick Barnes has been a four seed one time in his career while at Clemson in 1997. In that year, Clemson beat 13 seed Miami (OH), 68-56, in the round of 64 and five seed Tulsa, 65-59, in the round of 32 before losing to top seed Minnesota, 90-84, in a double overtime game that is one of the best the tournament has seen since the field expanded to 64 teams 22 years ago.

The first-round task at hand for the Longhorns will first be a 4 vs.13 match-up against the New Mexico State Aggies. Since 1985, there have been 88 4 vs. 13 games played. The higher seed has a record of 70-18 in the opening round.

That means the Longhorns have a 79.6 percent chance to win based on history. The first round games have been decided by an average of nine points since 1985, but the gap has closed since 2000. In the last 28 games in the 4 vs. 13 match-up, the four seed has won by an average of 7.8 points.

The upsets in the first round have involved some storied programs such as Indiana, UCLA, Arizona, Syracuse and Kansas. One program, the Oklahoma Sooners, have the dubious distinction of being upset in more 4 vs. 13 games than any other program with three losses.

...More... To continue reading this article you must be a member. Sign Up Now!